Okufanele ukwenze nge ruble? Okufanele ukwenze nge ruble namuhla? Rouble uwela - yini okumele ngiyenze?

Isihloko kokuwa ruble eminyakeni yamuva kaningi liphuma cindezela. Kunezincwadi sihluke umFilisti kunezinxushunxushu ( "Yini ukwenzani ruble?"), Ukuze olunzulu futhi kohlaziyo ngokwanele. Lesi sihloko kunqotjhwe ngalo ukunikela iyiqoqo ehlelekile ngale ndaba, esekelwe izincwadi ezitholakala emaphephandabeni Russian.

I-ruble Russian kungenxa isu

Analytics - ngezinye izikhathi into nakuba. Ukulungele siphendule lo mbuzo is a luyingxenye isiRashiya, sabhekana ukukhanyisa awuwufanelekeli uThandeka emlonyeni ... umhlaziyi Western Chris Weafer. Ngokubona kwakhe, ukuntuleka izinguquko ezihlelekile emnothweni Russian uye wavuthwa futhi kuthathwe ukuma kuze kube sezingeni lokuba 2014 kufanele kube eyisebenzisa juqu: kuphakathi kokuthi bona kuzokwenzeka ngalesi sikhathi, noma kungenzeki nhlobo (kucabanga: ngo-2016 - ePhalamende ukhetho 2018 - wokhetho lobumengameli).

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, njengoba ososayensi bathi, kufanele kuphawulwe ukuthi izinguquko kuzoholela kuphela eminyakeni 2-3.

Kuyinto ashintsha kusuka injini ephelelwe yisikhathi sokukhula komnotho - umnotho isisetshenziswa ezisekelwe olubanzi - injini ngokuyinhloko entsha sokukhula komnotho. Omunye amathuluzi lokhu reorientation iyona ruble. Yini okufanele ngiyenze nalo? Lo mbuzo has izimpendulo ezimbili okunye.

1. Ubujamo abasekeli neoliberalism (njengoba emelelwa Central Bank, zezinkonzo, oligarchy) kuyehla kube kwekuhlela kabusha eside futhi, ngokufanelekile, - kwethulwa ruble e "ezintantayo khulula".

2. Ababesadla ngoludala emelelwa imibutho yezokuphepha, ubushiqela, ukukhathazeka isimo, bathambekele zivimbela kakhulu ushintsho.

Umlayezo ayisihluthulelo kuqale kabusha okwakubhaliwe, kwaba ukuqaphela nalabo nabanye ukuthi uhlezi izandla phezu okuyingozi kuka umsebenzi wokuvuselela izakhiwo. Ukudala izinsiza utshalomali Russian kudingeka izimo ezimbili: kwentengo kawoyela kanye ruble ezishibhile. Ngakho, nganikwa umyalo: "Phambili"

Ukuqalisa pad umnotho Russian

Ngokuqinisekile, isimo macroeconomic yezwe kwalinganiselwa ekuqaleni. Ukuthuthukiswa komnotho nomthelela ukuzinza iminyaka eyishumi of the ruble. stock market waseRussia ihehe zimali abazimele. Waqongelela i izinqolobane umxhwele international - $ 500 billion.

ruble Russian esikhathini esizayo balindelwe umsebenzi Integrative - elikhulu nohlobo lwemali olulodwa kuwo wonke amazwe Customs Union.

inqubomgomo ruble Central Bank

Umyalezo oyinhloko ingxoxo yethu kufanele kube inqubomgomo Central Bank - umzimba isimo ekuhleleni kwegazi futhi ezithinta inkambo zezimali zikazwelonke kanye nezinye. Inhloko ebhange eyinhloko Russia Elvira Nabiullina uye lizwakalise ngokuphindaphindiwe amaphuzu zako ezisemqoka.

Babheka ngokusebenzisa umbono esemthethweni mission lwemali waseRussia kazwelonke njengoba Floating, musa bufakwe hhayi lwekuphatfwa ngalokuyimphumelelo ukubaluleka dollar kanye euro. On umbuzo: "Yini ukwenzani ruble," inhloko yawo Central Bank iyaphendula elandela, usebenzisa i-lwemali engabizi, ukuqinisa umnotho, nokuthi, esikhundleni salokho, kuzoqinisa ruble.

Entsha inqubomgomo exchange rate of the Central Bank

Lilonke nje nombono omusha ku mission lwemali kazwelonke ahlinzekwa "Izikhombisi eyinhloko komgomo wokuboleka amabhange ngezimali ezivela 2014 kuya 2016.". Lo mbhalo kwaba usizo futhi kulawulwa Bank of Russia nqubomgomo ezibhekiswe ruble exchange rate ukwehla kwamandla emali sokukhomba. Kuhlelwe 2015 ukuthuthela indlela elintantayo ngokugcwele yokulawulwa kwezimboni lwemali kazwelonke. Ngokwenza uhlelo oshiwo ngenhla, ngoJanuwari 1914 Central Bank imise kokungenela exchange angaphandle ukuba silondoloze exchange rate, ngokulandelana, ruble uwela. Kuthiwani uma yizinkomba zezomnotho kumazwe euro indawo ngesikhathi esifanayo ukukhombisa umkhuba omuhle? Russia kufanele kugcinwe amasu ayo.

Ukubuka olusemthethweni: izizathu yokuncipha kokubaluleka ruble

falling ruble udaba inhloko Bank of Russia obiza elibanzi hlola: akulona ruble wawa, waqinisa dollar kanye euro. Njengoba wazi, ekuqaleni inqubo wabeka ukunciphisa ukuthengwa kwempahla ye-Federal Reserve System-United States ngokuvumelana welithi "ubuhlungu ambalwa" - kuze kube amadola 65 billion ngenyanga ..

Kusukela ekupheleni 2012, wagcina ukuma ukuhanjiswa izikhungo zokuthuthukisa global. I izinjini eyinhloko ukukhula komnotho babe-United States kanye ne-Europe. Umnotho Russian, kanye amazwe ase-Asia ngo-2013 wabonisa yokujama tsi ukuthambekela okungalungile. Esakhuluma ngayo le ndaba uwela kanye Ukwehla of China.

Elvira Nabiullina, isici esiyisihluthulelo ukukhula lwemali kazwelonke wabona ukuvuselela intuthuko yomnotho. Likhomba asizakale kwezomnotho eningi ukuze nginqande leso simo: i predominance lemikhiqizo Russian phezu ukungeniswa yayo. Isimo enquma azokwenza nge ruble, ukwimodi yokuzenzela, ngomqondo ovulekile ekuhloleni isimo.

Esikhatsini lesifisha lo mkhuba ziyonquma inzuzo abathuthi elikhulayo izinto zokusetshenziswa. Kodwa esikhathini eside Ruble kufanele "ukuncika" ku ezomnotho nezinye, imikhakha non-primary komnotho Russian.

Ngokusho bebhange Russian (Anton Mukhin, finsovetnik Irkutsk legatsha BCS Premier Irkutsk) ingcindezi ezisebenza Ruble luwukuqagela. ekukhuleni kwayo esikhathini eside kufanele abe nesandla ekubeni nombono oqondile yokukhipha uwoyela "izinqolobane ngokuba aqondisa" of Central Bank. Banker uqinisekile: isimo isu zezimali Kucatshangwa ke njengoba isigaba ethile ukuthi ruble wawa. Okufanele ukwenze - sizobona ku ezilandelayo Central Bank.

Ukwehla yesikhashana izifundo waqinisekisa olwenziwa abahlaziyi asebhange America_Merrill_Lynch labo ukumodeliswa macroeconomic sinqume ukuthi yingxenye eyodwa kwezine zawo kulo nyaka lesibili nelesine, intengo Russian uwoyela uzovuka.

I-ruble kanye abadlali emakethe Russian

Ngesikhathi esifanayo, inhloko Central Bank umema bonke abadlali emakethe Russian ndawonye futhi icubungulisise yokulungisa le nkinga ye kokuwa ruble. Wakhumbula ukuthi ibhange central - akuwona isihloko kuphela emakethe exchange angaphandle. Umsebenzi wayo - wakufanelekela ukuhlola ukubhekana yesikhathi esifushane ekushintshashintsheni lwemali kazwelonke, kanjalo nokugcina esimweni esitebeleni ibhizinisi.

Umkhuba kwesikhathi eside ukwehla enanini layo, njengoba kuboniswa Elvira Nabiullina, lihlotshaniswa negalelo ezihlelekile ukuthekelisa ngamakhasimende izinto zokusetshenziswa umnotho. Lokho kuyimpendulo nenselele isikhathi :. "Yini ukuba enzeni ruble" lihlotshaniswa kabusha olukhulu isakhi lonke umnotho kuleli eziyinkimbinkimbi.

Mayelana ibhizinisi isu nabezindlu nge ruble falling

Kusobala ukuthi i-ruble ababuthakathaka kuyinto isigwedlo enamandla yezwe ukuthekelisa ngamakhasimende, injongo yayo - ukusekela umkhiqizi yayo. Ngakho uthi Evgeny Bolotin, onguSihlalo we-Urals Bank Union. Yena okholwa ukuthi isinqumo i Yiqiniso okunye (kushintshwe / ayilungiswanga) isobala: isidingo ukukhula umkhakha futhi nikhokha izintela, lokuhambisana ukuwa elawulwa of the ruble. Kuthiwani uma ngesikhathi esifanayo abe ukungeniswa okubizayo? Miselela ukukhiqizwa yayo Russian.

Manje isikhundla osomabhizinisi izibambiso emakethe. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, njengoba kuphakanyiswe Radik Akhmetshin, Umqondisi Stock Market Association Urals amabhizinisi uthole ithuba ukubeka izisekelo ekukhuleni kwayo esizayo ngokuthenga ukwabelana ngamanani falling. Ngempela, inkambo ngekusasa labo ngokuqinisekile zizoba. Muva nje, uthi kanye noNgqongqoshe Wezezimali Russian Anton Siluanov. Nokho, osomnotho Russia anothile kulindeleke a ukwehla unomphela lwemali kazwelonke ngo-2014 kuya ku-20%.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, ukuwa ruble ingcindezi stock market yeRussia, eqinisweni - nje amazwi. Ngo Nokho, empeleni, ngoba iningi abadlali bakhe - non-izakhamizi, zesito iwe daba, zimali angaphandle baphoqeleka ukuba "zilawule".

Rouble uwela - yini okumele ngiyenze? 2014, ezingokoqobo

Kanjani labantu Russian ekwindla ka the ruble? Lo mbuzo sifundwa uVladimir Zotov (Directorate of Fin / izikhungo kanye yasebhange ukutshalwa kwezimali Ural). Ngokwe-umnikazi, ngokucacile anda funa imali, ngesikhathi esifanayo ezithathwe ingxenye encane idiphozi. Ngenxa yalokhu, kukhona ukuthambekela hhayi ukuze uthumele ka ruble ezifakwa kumadola noma evrovye. Njengoba enomfanekiso amazwi angenhla, lizwakalise izibalo ezilandelayo: uma Russian ruble ezifakwa sabantu imayelana 16.3 trillion. ruble, lwemali, ukuhumusheka izinga lokushintshisana kwe-Central Bank ngo-ruble, -. 3.3 isigidintathu kuphela. deda., noma u-20%.

Nokho, amaRashiya sebeke bahlangabezana futhi ngasinda isikhathi esingaphezu esibucayi, namanje kubuzwa lo mbuzo: "I-ruble uwela - yini okumele ngiyenze?" Impendulo bendabuko: Kufanele ehlukahlukene izimali zabo. Kunengqondo, isibonelo, isu ezilandelayo: kwesigamu semali agqoke idiphozi ruble, omunye amakota ezisele - e dollar idiphozi, futhi okusele - e evrovy.

Isikhundla isakhamuzi isilinganiso

Ngiyavuma, kakade namuhla abonakala "lezinkinga" iwubuphukuphuku Bakwethu njalo Mota phesheya ukuze enze okufanayo yokungenisa ukuthenga, okuyinto babekwazi ukukwenza eRussia, kodwa ngentengo engcono. Bona, niyazi, wawa nakwentiwa lapho ukuguqulela ruble.

Izakhamuzi eziningi isimo sethu, ngokungafani kuya wokuqala, ukuntuleka ukuphepha zezimali isiguqo. Kubo olufanele kungenye inkinga - yini okumele uyenze ne ruble namuhla? Ngomqondo onabile, izimali esibalelwa ayizinkulungwane ezingu-30. Hlikihla. ungagcina imali ekhaya.

Manje cabangela isimo esaba khona lapho izimali ezivela izakhamuzi isatholakala. Susani ruble yabo ezifakwa ebhange akufanele kube. Ngaphansi imigomo yesivumelwano idiphozi, oqeda ke ngaphambi kwesikhathi, iklayenti yasebhange akazizuzeli isithakazelo. Lokhu kuzokhulisa kuphela ngezandla zabo kuze bo khe detriment.

Uma ngifuna ukuthenga imoto amazwe ngawe umbuzo obalulekile ikakhulukazi: "Yini ukuba enzeni ruble namuhla" impendulo yalo mbuzo kufushane: "Thenga!" Ngempela, lapho kuwa obengeziwe lwemali kazwelonke ziyonquma ukwanda izindleko amaphupho akho.

Kunconywe - hhayi Kunconywa

Uma ahlanganise iseluleko uchwepheshe senimbuso munye, ukubonakalisa kuka ukudala bona nesilinganiso sokuphepha ekwindla ka lwemali kazwelonke ke zonke kuzoncishiswa izinto ezimbili silula.

Eyokuqala is hhayi Kunconywa ukutshala izimali illiquid. Ngokwesibonelo, imali ingcebo kungenzeka kuphela ngezikhawu enkulu yesikhathi. Ngaphezu kwalokho, nge izinga lokwehla kwamandla emali, isimiso, it is hhayi Kunconywa ukuthengisa impahla. Esimweni esibucayi, Dynamics of the imali kudingeka maloprognozirovana.

Nokho, yini okufanele uyenze ne ukwehla of the ruble? Isikhundla wesibili ubonisa ukuthi endaweni Kunconywa kwezimali utshalomali labantu amafa ketshezi: zifakwe ebhange, amatshe ayigugu, PIF-s yizinkampani utshalomali.

Futhi kanjani ngaphandle bendabuko kakade eminyaka ubudala iseluleko esihle ubudala: Izakhamizi Uzofunda ukulondoloza, ukuhlehlisa yeshumi nyangazonke yezinzuzo kwabo ngosuku oluna imvula!

Ezinye izimo of the ruble ukuwa

Anecdotally, bheka isihloko esithi "bedstvovaniya ikhamera" izinkampani Russian uwoyela, ukukhala loudest: "Siza! Ukuwa ruble! Yini okumelwe uyenze? !! "Ngemva kancane izifundo zezomnotho abantu ababeyizazi yokuthi nge intengo okwandisa lamafutha dollar falling" eluhlaza-izinto "bawela Nirvana, ngoba umholo wabo ibalwa izimali zakwamanye amazwe, futhi izindleko (e Umq. H. Futhi izintela ) - in ruble. Ukuya reconversion: kokuwa ruble iba nengeniso oligarchs.

Phakathi neproigravshih ngokuqinisekile "Surgutneftegaz" - isakhiwo ezijulile-commercial, okuyinto has an umxhwele langempela lwemali izikhundla . $ 30 bhiliyoni Qaphela ukuthi inzuzo, kodwa ezincane, okufanayo "Lukoil" futhi "Rosneft". Ngeke bakwazi ukukhulisa inzuzo ngoba beye yesikhathi esifushane izimali zakwamanye amazwe okumele zikhokhelwe (lwemali buyiselo yayo kuyodingeka ukuthenga ku emali). A isithekelisi ehamba phambili "Gazprom" kungenzeka athole super-inzuzo kusukela "zezombusazwe" yamanani okwandisa.

Umqondisi ejensi kohlaziyo "Alpari" Alexander Razuvaev ubikezela ukuthi njengoba yalokhu wamanje tariff ekuphambukeni phakathi kwamanani kawoyela (igesi) nezintela in ruble imali esemqoka ye uwoyela negesi eziyinkimbinkimbi kuyoba 862 billion. Deda. nge mali yenzuzo ye 682 billion. ukukuthinta. Kafushane, lapho ruble devalued, yini okufanele uyenze, ukwazi uwoyela engcono.

isiphetho

Ngakho, i-ruble ababuthakathaka - alikho ngempela uphawu kokuntengantenga, njengoba insimbi ethile yezezimali wentuthuko. Akhuthaza ukwakheka kwe-yemali "ukuphepha isiguqo" ukuze izinguquko ezidingekayo ezihlelekile umnotho.

It kulandela ukuthi yangaphakathi izinsiza utshalomali eRussia ngqo wenza kuncike ukuthi sizokwazi ukuvula "lakhishwa esiswini" oligarchs inzuzo ngokweqile ekhiqizwa ngesikhathi ruble falling. Izwe lidinga Inqubomgomo zezimboni, isimo-run, ukutshalwa kwezimali okubhekiswe of wezinkampane zomphakathi futhi uhulumeni, ukuthuthukiswa innovative umkhakha zenuzi, uwoyela negesi, Imboni yezokuvikela.